saiwang2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $17.75
Potential payout: $724.33
Potential profit: $706.59
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $20.48
Potential payout: $611.29
Potential profit: $590.81
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $20.17
Potential payout: $333.35
Potential profit: $313.18
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $19.71
Potential payout: $140.79
Potential profit: $121.08
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $18.64
Potential payout: $108.11
Potential profit: $89.47
Multiplier: 5.80x
User PnL: -$1.36

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $20.53
Potential payout: $105.28
Potential profit: $84.75
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 34.3%
Current value: $35.62
Potential payout: $104.01
Potential profit: $68.39
Multiplier: 2.92x
User PnL: $15.62

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $6.37
Potential payout: $85.47
Potential profit: $79.1
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: -$3.63

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $19.56
Potential payout: $69.87
Potential profit: $50.3
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $7.77
Potential payout: $62.89
Potential profit: $55.13
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $17.48
Potential payout: $58.26
Potential profit: $40.78
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $21.92
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $3.72
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.92

Over position

Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $10.14
Potential profit: $2.89
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0.15

Over position

Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.14
Potential profit: $10.14
User PnL: -$7.2

Over position

Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $8.05
Potential payout: $10.13
Potential profit: $2.08
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.05

Over position

Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $8.35
Potential payout: $10.12
Potential profit: $1.77
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.05

Over position

Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $6.63
Potential profit: $3.81
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.03

Over position

Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.11
Potential profit: $6.11
User PnL: -$2.75

Over position

Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $3.34
Potential profit: $1.52
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.05

Over position

Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $2.88
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $1.73
Potential profit: $1.46
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.75

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.56

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.85

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.76

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.04

Over position

Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET