0x0262...d7b6

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $150.45
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.62K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $33.61

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $87.21
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$12.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in July 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $782
Potential profit: $781.61
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets in July 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $754
Potential profit: $753.62
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in July 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $730
Potential profit: $729.64
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $30.63
Potential payout: $408.36
Potential profit: $377.73
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $2.74

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $198.08
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $186.54
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $11.5
Potential payout: $377.19
Potential profit: $365.69
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$91.26

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $16.05
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $283.95
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 40.1%
Current value: $107.66
Potential payout: $268.82
Potential profit: $161.16
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $7.66

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $233.78
Potential payout: $243.9
Potential profit: $10.12
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $33.78

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $48.36
Potential payout: $234.74
Potential profit: $186.38
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $192.55
Potential payout: $196.08
Potential profit: $3.53
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $92.55

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $110.28
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $78.4
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $10.28

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $99.23
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $54.62
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $46.61
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $88.53
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$3.39

No position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $102.94
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $14.71
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.94

No position

Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $78.74
Potential payout: $87
Potential profit: $8.27
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$2.18

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.43
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$2.13

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.39
Potential profit: $47.39
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.01
Potential profit: $14.01
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 46%
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $361.95

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.16

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $65.1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 15.3%
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $41.77

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.6%
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $31.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.09

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.98

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.94

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.78

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Will "Texas" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.98

Yes position

Will "Attention" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will "Water" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

Yes position

Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will "Understand" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will "Right" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?