No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $8.77K
- Potential payout
- $17.9K
- Potential profit
- $9.13K
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $4.12K
Polymarket Trader
Fain
0x0262c1d06bb33ac08f00bede1856269d162ea9d2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.77K
- Realized PnL
- $7.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.37K
- Potential profit
- $2.37K
- User PnL
- -$703.04
No position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$253.91
No position
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$958.24
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$393.04
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $441.79
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $610.1
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$20.87
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $200.75
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $349.25
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$91.25
No position
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $466.77
- Potential profit
- $466.77
- User PnL
- -$57.03
No position
Will Trump say "My Father" or "My Mother" this week? (April 27 - May 3)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $444.69
- Potential profit
- $444.69
- User PnL
- -$264.31
Yes position
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $422.22
- Potential profit
- $422.22
- User PnL
- -$203.3
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $416.58
- Potential profit
- $416.58
- User PnL
- -$296.65
No position
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $407.89
- Potential profit
- $407.89
- User PnL
- -$172.12
No position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $104.01
- Potential payout
- $407.87
- Potential profit
- $303.86
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$91.25
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $98
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $302
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$62
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $387.11
- Potential profit
- $387.11
- User PnL
- -$361.36
Yes position
Will the United States win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $355.99
- Potential profit
- $355.99
- User PnL
- -$47.07
No position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $149.91
- Potential payout
- $318.97
- Potential profit
- $169.05
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $15.78
Yes position
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $269.02
- Potential profit
- $269.02
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $258.11
- Potential profit
- $258.11
- User PnL
- -$195.53
No position
ChatGPT Outage by February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $251.26
- Potential profit
- $251.26
- User PnL
- -$204.01
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.43
- Potential profit
- $223.43
- User PnL
- -$101.55
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by April 4, 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $205.2
- Potential profit
- $205.2
- User PnL
- -$79.73
Yes position
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.62
- Potential profit
- $196.62
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $874.08
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $836.33
No position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $512.74
No position
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $512.54
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $440.02
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.7
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.45
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.58
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.07
No position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.9
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $267.85
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.91
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.59
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.77
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.68
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.9
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.77
Yes position
Will the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $173.76
No position
Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.95
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.75
No position
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.77
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.69
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133
No position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $116.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.6% 10 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 54% 200 shares
- US bank failure by June 30?No 94% 7.33 shares
- Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?No 55% 27.78 shares
- Will Starmer say "Social Media" during the next PMQ?No 69.9% 10 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?No 89% 44.62 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 25.4% 50 shares
- Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 16-22?No 33% 17.99 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?No 85% 9.99 shares
- Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?No 77% 20 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 91% 600.27 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?No 82% 89.53 shares