Polymarket Trader

errt

0x029045690ac650fdb47b1ec6dade2c0a5fa456f8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $154.87
Realized PnL: $21.83
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $136.87
Potential payout: $136.93
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $12.14
Potential payout: $12.22
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $5.86
Potential payout: $5.9
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: -$0

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Jazz

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,800 and $3,900 on October 26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $2.60 on November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $2.70 on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $200 on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $2.80 on October 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01

Thunder position

Nuggets vs. Thunder

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will the price of Solana be less than $150 on October 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on October 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Will the price of XRP be between $2.30 and $2.40 on October 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on October 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Commanders

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 99.7% 44.93 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 94.1% 15.93 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

No 99.8% 46.09 shares
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

No 99.9% 13.01 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?

No 99.8% 24.05 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?

No 99.8% 100.17 shares
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

No 99.9% 15.02 shares
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

No 99.9% 11.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

No 99.8% 6.99 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?

No 99.5% 43.07 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

No 99.1% 70.64 shares
Nuggets vs. Thunder

Thunder 71.9% 6.95 shares