Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $38.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $11.75
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $3.25
Polymarket Trader
Cleaver2026
0x0295ab94495384587904e39cd0d25b9d679b49d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $187.27
- Realized PnL
- -$15.49
- Win rate
- 4.2%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $19.87
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $6.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $7.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.6
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 6?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.9
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.8
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
No position
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 4?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $18.48
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.87
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$8.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $11.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 6?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $16.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $13.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $6.2
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 4?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.48
- Multiplier
- 13.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $12.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $7.4
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $4.32
- Potential payout
- $18.39
- Potential profit
- $14.07
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $7.23
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $9.78
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $9.77
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $7.23
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $3.42
- Potential payout
- $8.56
- Potential profit
- $5.14
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $4.28
- Potential payout
- $7.13
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Y
Yes position
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.7%
- Multiplier
- 11.49x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Y
Yes position
Will Jaylen Brown play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Y
Yes position
Will Paper Rex win the EWC Valorant Tournament
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by 1–2%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Switzerland vs Algeria FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
N
No position
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 5?No 51% 17 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No 30% 18.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 5?Yes 44% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?Yes 33% 3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 4?No 59% 20 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 5?Yes 69% 17 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 5?No 47% 2.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?Yes 44% 16.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?No 57% 20 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No 51% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 4?No 49% 17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?No 41% 7.13 shares