Dillon-POL

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $17.63
Potential profit: $17.55
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $4.87
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 67.2%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $2.83
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $2.02
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $2.02
Potential profit: $1.77
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $1.44
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $1.26
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $1.21
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $1.13
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 91.1%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.05
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0.01
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or higher on July 6?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 6?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 5?