Polymarket Trader

nomad2

0x029a4c736b25c0a0024be6ed7f2c832cc2a8034b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $71.81
Realized PnL: $6.96
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $41.87
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $992.04
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$58.13

Yes position

Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $398.6
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$8.6

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.11
Potential profit: $218.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Estonia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.99
Potential profit: $94.99
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $8.44
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $54.06
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $9.17
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $18.61
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $10.93
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $3.36
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.93

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $1.79
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 56% 1.79 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

No 13% 7.69 shares
Will Estonia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 3.3% 60.44 shares
Will Estonia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 2.9% 34.55 shares
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Yes 95.9% 10.43 shares
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Yes 83.4% 23.98 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

Yes 80% 12.5 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Yes 2.5% 400 shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Yes 33% 30.3 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Yes 4.6% 218.11 shares
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Yes 36% 27.78 shares