No position
Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $917.99
- Potential payout
- $971.93
- Potential profit
- $53.94
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Polymarket Trader
SurferOfDreams
0x029d371c5dcf595cd3fede8a5e52b03d0bec60df
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $917.99
- Realized PnL
- $97.43
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.25
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $13.4
No position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.43
No position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$5.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?No 95.3% 649.35 shares
- Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?No 93% 322.58 shares
- Trump out as President before GTA VI?No 48% 537.4 shares
- GTA VI released before June 2026?No 98.6% 404.24 shares
- Trump out as President before GTA VI?No 49% 537.41 shares
- GTA VI released before June 2026?No 97.4% 404.25 shares
- Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?No 99.7% 393.71 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No 98.1% 399.89 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No 98.1% 399.9 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No 99.1% 392.3 shares
- US strike on Mexico by January 31?No 96.6% 402.35 shares
- US strike on Mexico by January 31?No 93.5% 402.35 shares