No position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $24
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Polymarket Trader
0x029d...5c32
0x029d3f09e9e32764afa664cc29fcf0190e505c32
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $67.92
- Realized PnL
- -$12.81
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $5.59
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $16.47
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $14.3
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.8
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $9.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.32
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $5.96
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.3%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.74
- Multiplier
- 3.95x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Current value
- $4.45
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$2.42
No position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$11.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 88.7% 5 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 88% 8 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 52.5% 5 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 86% 5 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 14% 18 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 79% 8 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 73% 6 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 38% 21 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 22% 11 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 63% 21 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 37% 5 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 94.7% 12 shares