No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $36.78
- Potential payout
- $36.78
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.78
Polymarket Trader
solekt
0x029da4708bfae0d0b1cffd5de98a5f05b3a2fbdd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $70.06
- Realized PnL
- $192.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.47
- Potential profit
- $22.47
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $17.72
- Potential payout
- $20.25
- Potential profit
- $2.53
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $7.57
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $9.43
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.99
- Potential payout
- $7.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.39
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.6
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $4100 August 11–17?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.25
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.84
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
No position
Will Southampton win on 2024-11-09?
Ends Nov 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58
Yes position
Ripple above $1.69 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19
No position
Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
Bills position
Bills vs. Colts
Ends Nov 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.09
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34
Cavaliers position
Nets vs. Cavaliers
Ends Nov 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
Bucks position
Jazz vs. Bucks
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82
49ers position
49ers vs. Buccaneers
Ends Nov 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
Yes position
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-27?
Ends Apr 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2900 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 64% 31.25 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No 89% 22.47 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?No 89% 22.47 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 79% 20.25 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?No 87.6% 7.99 shares
- Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?Yes 96.8% 22.73 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No 87% 36.78 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No 47% 10.64 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes 75% 8 shares
- Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?No 77% 25.97 shares
- Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?No 74% 6.76 shares
- Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Yes 69% 28.99 shares