No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.03K
- Potential profit
- $8.03K
- User PnL
- -$524.95
Polymarket Trader
wing1234
0x02ae961846bcddb4bb74f7c866662b83ed11bad5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.1K
- Realized PnL
- $796.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $41.87
- Potential payout
- $5.58K
- Potential profit
- $5.54K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.23
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $44.47
- Potential payout
- $4.45K
- Potential profit
- $4.4K
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.41
No position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- User PnL
- -$14.99
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.93K
- Potential profit
- $3.93K
- User PnL
- -$420.06
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $56.66
- Potential payout
- $3.66K
- Potential profit
- $3.6K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $5.3
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $95.4
- Potential payout
- $3.35K
- Potential profit
- $3.25K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$3.27
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $485.45
- Potential payout
- $2.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $59.81
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $24.18
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $165.24
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 11.43x
- User PnL
- $70.92
Yes position
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Yes position
Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $17.2
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$2.64
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $34.67
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $4.87
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $20.54
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $12.39
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $5.12
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $86.48
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $987.75
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$6.62
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $14.14
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $3.48
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.4
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.19
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.3
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.73
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.66
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.15
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.75
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.53
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.85
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.28
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.47
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.85
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.13
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.19
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.07
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.77
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.73
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.56
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.88
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.22
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.99
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.4
No position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 16% 50 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 14% 40 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 38% 20 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 14% 30 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 38% 20 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 38% 10 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 14% 20 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 14% 20 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 38% 10 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No 75% 53.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 9% 131.25 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2.4% 98.43 shares