No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $492.54
Polymarket Trader
wolvenfoxlikebear
0x02b8cadb743843a7ae4e336c0a467e73f2793deb
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $1.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 0
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.4
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.59
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.03
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $492.54
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.4
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.59
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.03
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.03
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.5
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.87
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.5
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.74
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.88
No position
Military action against Iran ends by March 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.57
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $23.05
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.2
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.14
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $17.41
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $16.62
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $14.4
No position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $14.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 15.5% 45 shares
- Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 15.5% 462.66 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 83.5% 100 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 26% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.7% 1,000 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 38.8% 137.56 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 15.6% 2,778.39 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 26.8% 1,120.8 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 8.8% 403 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 12% 2,049.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 9% 97 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 50% 200 shares