England position
Spread: England (-1.5)
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$980
Polymarket Trader
lukasenak
0x02c28cc71b75435cef87914a3b8e5a74633f0ada
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $43.05
- Realized PnL
- -$2.97K
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $43.05
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $26.95
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$15.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Thunder position
Timberwolves vs. Thunder
Ends May 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $577.11
Thunder position
Suns vs. Thunder
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.96
Heat position
Suns vs. Heat
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.45
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.18
No position
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.09
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
England position
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Norway position
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-4.5) vs. USA (+4.5) gold medals?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.34
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Suns position
Suns vs. Heat
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$104
Pelicans position
Pelicans vs. Pacers
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$436.64
Vikings position
Vikings vs. Seahawks
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Thunder
Ends May 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.06K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 83% 70 shares
- England vs. DR Congo: Team to AdvanceEngland 88% 40 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 92% 36 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 92% 36 shares
- Iran leadership change by April 30?No 99.7% 35 shares
- Iran leadership change by March 31?No 80% 35.92 shares
- Winter Games 2026: Norway (-4.5) vs. USA (+4.5) gold medals?Norway 93% 23.65 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No 95% 22 shares
- Suns vs. HeatSuns 50% 208 shares
- Suns vs. HeatHeat 51% 105 shares
- Suns vs. ThunderThunder 89% 1,117.8 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes 8% 100 shares