Polymarket Trader

0x02CdA0189Cc54e35d368e521DEAD6A922e03B342-1775789352933

0x02cda0189cc54e35d368e521dead6a922e03b342

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $44.73
Realized PnL: $31.45
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $50.01
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $19.76
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $4.63
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $23.53
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.28
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $4.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $10.69
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $3.19
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $0.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.41

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

Brazil position

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.27

Netherlands position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 5?

No 72% 13.89 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 4?

No 70% 14.29 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 82% 24.39 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Brazil 74% 20.27 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Netherlands 61% 32.79 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Portugal 68% 29.41 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

No 95.4% 23.25 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 96.8% 25.64 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 2% 50 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

No 98.7% 18.29 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

No 82% 18.29 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 85% 23.53 shares