Polymarket Trader

payfox

0x02cefed891e241a49af30a008bd20ab4c91c2213

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $346.19
Realized PnL: $672.94
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

UNCW Seahawks position

Howard Bison vs. UNCW Seahawks

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $939
Potential profit: $939
User PnL: -$469.5

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $586
Potential profit: $586
User PnL: -$240.26

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $522
Potential profit: $522
User PnL: -$224.46

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $346.19
Potential payout: $471
Potential profit: $124.82
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $35.32

Yes position

Will Gemini run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $449
Potential profit: $449
User PnL: -$107.76

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $426
Potential profit: $426
User PnL: -$251.34

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221
Potential profit: $221
User PnL: -$26.52

No position

Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Lady Gaga win 1 Grammy?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119
Potential profit: $119
User PnL: -$21.42

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$20.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.44

Yes position

Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.68

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $74.24

Yes position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $62.16

Yes position

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

No position

Will Google Gemini be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.68

Yes position

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21.8%
Multiplier: 4.60x
User PnL: $28.79

No position

Critical Discord Incident by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.24

No position

Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.6

Yes position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.88

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $13.34

Yes position

Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.84

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.83

Yes position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0

No position

Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?

No 99.5% 100 shares
Will Green Left win <20 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

No 79% 106 shares
Will Green Left win <20 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

No 87% 106 shares
Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?

No 84.9% 100 shares
Howard Bison vs. UNCW Seahawks

UNCW Seahawks 50% 939 shares
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

No 60% 168 shares
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

No 60% 433 shares
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?

No 53% 14 shares
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?

No 53% 18 shares
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?

No 53% 20 shares
Named storm forms before hurricane season?

No 52% 901 shares
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?

No 84% 52 shares