No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.24
- Potential profit
- $6.24
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Polymarket Trader
aretwaetretw
0x02d863be20263fdbde785034450fb821a3663d4d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $4.89
- Win rate
- 52.6%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bill Ackman say "Fannie" 20+ times during the X Space event on November 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.1
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will "Jay Kelly" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.77
- Potential profit
- $1.77
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5AM ET
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will José Antonio Kast come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 14?No 99.7% 1.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 14?No 99.8% 1.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 14?No 99.8% 1.25 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No 99.9% 2.14 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No 99.8% 1.61 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?No 99.9% 1.34 shares
- Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?No 99.8% 1.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on April 30?No 99.9% 1.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on April 15?No 99.7% 1.08 shares
- Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?No 99.7% 1.02 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 99.8% 1.2 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No 99.6% 1.77 shares