Polymarket Trader

MattPMP

0x02e822e85dd7fe0b9aa0fc9771aa1fa5afccd63e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.68K
Realized PnL: $10.16K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $617.5
Potential payout: $65K
Potential profit: $64.38K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $97.5

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $187.5
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.81K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $140
Potential payout: $11.2K
Potential profit: $11.06K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$61.6

Yes position

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $85.5
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $8.91K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$49.5

Yes position

Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $377
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$299

No position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$210.71

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$684

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $439.06
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $618.92
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$5.29

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $76
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $724
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$224

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $196
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $604
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$132

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $747.99
Potential payout: $799.99
Potential profit: $52
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $236

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $201
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $399
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$21

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $270
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $330
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.98
Potential profit: $599.98
User PnL: -$251.99

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $237.99
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $162
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $10

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $52.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $47.5
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$5.5

No position

Another Canada election called by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $52.47
Potential payout: $52.6
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $20.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11K

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Saturday?

Ends Jun 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62K

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $803.99

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $742

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $670

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600.79

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.1%
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $375.08

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352.19

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Pacers

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Hornets

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225

Raptors position

Hawks vs. Raptors

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.99

No position

Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.99

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162

Yes position

Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $112

Yes position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.53

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.4

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.9

Yes position

Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.95

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.02

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will India join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

No 13% 71.55 shares
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.3% 15,000 shares
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Yes 65.7% 499.99 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 37% 551.48 shares
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.8% 4,942.26 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 97.1% 63.18 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

No 58% 36.43 shares
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 31% 28.24 shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 62% 12 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

No 12% 1,400 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 57% 180 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

No 99.9% 100 shares