No position
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $178.08
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $191.78
Polymarket Trader
pigment
0x02ead728ab076778e70ac76a68f097249013a39c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.39K
- Realized PnL
- -$643.49
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $645.49
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $439.37
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$162.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $833.26
- Potential payout
- $891.19
- Potential profit
- $57.93
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $33.26
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $658.64
- Potential payout
- $798.35
- Potential profit
- $139.71
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $35.93
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $473.55
- Potential payout
- $495.09
- Potential profit
- $21.54
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $128.33
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $391.4
- Potential payout
- $432.48
- Potential profit
- $41.09
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $32.44
No position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $184.73
- Potential payout
- $290.92
- Potential profit
- $106.18
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$15.27
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $15.55
- Potential payout
- $129.57
- Potential profit
- $114.02
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$34.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.63
Yes position
S&P500 all time high after election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.3
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.27
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.74
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.4
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.03
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.31
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.28
Yes position
Will Trump win 6 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47.88
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.47
Yes position
Will Trump win 4 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$64.1
Yes position
Will Trump win 5 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$97.5
Yes position
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$147.37
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$170.55
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$264.7
Yes position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$371.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 78% 798.35 shares
- Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?No 73% 1,369.86 shares
- Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes 90% 444.44 shares
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 38.6% 129.57 shares
- Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes 89.5% 446.74 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 68% 140.03 shares
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No 88.7% 107.29 shares
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No 75% 828 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?Yes 30.1% 224.2 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?Yes 35.7% 224.19 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 65.5% 76.35 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 71.8% 278.71 shares