No position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $17.87
Polymarket Trader
Agha
@Arteaga2Ryan
0x02f20d7d24f6b7ab4ac69778da17139c5c5dba79
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.41K
- Realized PnL
- $115.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $17.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.82
- Potential profit
- $18.82
- User PnL
- -$16
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $13.1
- Potential payout
- $13.17
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.85
Yes position
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.85
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.62
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94
Yes position
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Team Liquid win Blast Slam VI?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
Yes position
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (HIGH) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.7% 13.17 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes 70% 20 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.7% 1,374.87 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 97.9% 1,373.85 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.7% 1,373.48 shares
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?No 98.9% 55.61 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.8% 1,373.48 shares
- Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 47% 24.56 shares
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 9% 23.07 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes 97.7% 64.51 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?No 99.8% 1,275.1 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?Yes 97.5% 20.52 shares