Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $123.43
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$97.57
Polymarket Trader
0x02fa1FaCc2568E3933A82CF50F2a843605a13c2C-1766340673965
0x02fa1facc2568e3933a82cf50f2a843605a13c2c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $123.76
- Realized PnL
- $122.51
- Win rate
- 88.9%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $498.46
- Potential profit
- $498.46
- User PnL
- -$19.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.9
- Potential profit
- $243.9
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or below on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.79
- Potential profit
- $103.79
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.93
- Potential profit
- $72.93
- User PnL
- -$39.38
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.73
- Potential profit
- $5.73
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.2
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or below on February 15?Yes 96.3% 103.79 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETDown 54% 71.79 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETDown 87% 38.6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETDown 51% 37.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown 64.3% 48.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown 41% 47.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETDown 37% 38.91 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETDown 99% 89.74 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETDown 39.8% 48.84 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETDown 49% 39.54 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETDown 57% 13.27 shares