No position
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $91.72
- Potential payout
- $327.58
- Potential profit
- $235.86
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$32.76
Polymarket Trader
0xE605ff3A8173e39c0B32638f355C38Ea01Da31Ca-1772889067715
0x03066ef0af3426277a578559e3847c806b23a81e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $456.33
- Realized PnL
- $94.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $54.81
- Potential payout
- $233.24
- Potential profit
- $178.43
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$106.12
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $215.86
- Potential profit
- $215.86
- User PnL
- -$90.66
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.58
- Potential profit
- $212.58
- User PnL
- -$21.9
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$115.9
No position
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$78
No position
Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $168.4
- Potential profit
- $167.31
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$68.9
Yes position
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $36.39
- Potential payout
- $148.53
- Potential profit
- $112.14
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$67.58
Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.7%
- Current value
- $87.7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $12.3
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Yes position
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $10.26
- Potential payout
- $98.2
- Potential profit
- $87.94
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$25.09
Yes position
Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $11.78
- Potential payout
- $98.2
- Potential profit
- $86.41
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$14.73
Yes position
Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $3.77
- Potential payout
- $95.44
- Potential profit
- $91.67
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$14.36
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $6.79
- Potential payout
- $90.51
- Potential profit
- $83.72
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.85
- Potential profit
- $83.85
- User PnL
- -$15.09
Yes position
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $39.92
- Potential payout
- $80.64
- Potential profit
- $40.72
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$10.08
Yes position
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $18.05
- Potential payout
- $76.79
- Potential profit
- $58.74
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$14.21
Y
Yes position
Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $8.01
- Potential payout
- $76.3
- Potential profit
- $68.29
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$11.83
Yes position
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $30.78
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $45.22
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$7.98
Yes position
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69
- Potential profit
- $69
- User PnL
- -$26.22
Yes position
Neutrl FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $10.48
- Potential payout
- $67.6
- Potential profit
- $57.12
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$19.27
Yes position
Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.1%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $66.84
- Potential profit
- $48.09
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$8.99
Yes position
QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $21.28
- Potential payout
- $66.49
- Potential profit
- $45.21
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$10.25
No position
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.95
- Potential profit
- $65.95
- User PnL
- -$61.66
Yes position
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $62
- Potential profit
- $57.35
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.35
No position
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.87
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $3.18
N
No position
Will Catena launch a token by September 30, 2027?
Ends Oct 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $2.97
No position
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.68
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.36
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $1.97
No position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No 9.3% 100 shares
- Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?No 68% 83 shares
- Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?No 46.3% 148.76 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 38.3% 200 shares
- Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 43% 149 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17% 10 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 54% 200 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 61.7% 130 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No 31% 109 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 89.7% 200 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 82.8% 200 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 65% 200 shares