Polymarket Trader

reroro

@AlwaysRedox

0x0308de04953f7199fd17fff9b5d1c1dc23d2edf7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.71K
Realized PnL: $3.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $4.2K
User PnL: -$100.8

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$264

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $830
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $170
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $190

No position

World Cup: Any Team to Score 10+ Goals in the Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $460
Potential profit: $460
User PnL: -$55.1

Yes position

Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $187.99
Potential payout: $399.97
Potential profit: $211.98
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $36.19
Potential payout: $343
Potential profit: $306.81
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$111.3

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $144
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $156
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $111
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $189
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$81

No position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $206.97
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $93.03
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$36.03

Yes position

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $179.01
Potential payout: $265.21
Potential profit: $86.19
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $17.24

No position

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.4%
Current value: $19.76
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $17.24
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $3.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395.99

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.78

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $317.49

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.95

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.5

No position

Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.23

No position

TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.99

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.69

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 15)

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.88

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.04

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136

No position

Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130

Yes position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.62

No position

Fluent FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111

No position

Will Trump say "Greenland" during remarks on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.95

No position

Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.75

No position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

No position

Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.49

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.86

No position

Will Trump say "Truth Social" in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.91

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the announcement on Thursday?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.06

No position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

No position

Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

World Cup: Any Team to Score 10+ Goals in the Group Stage?

No 12% 380.17 shares
Will Solana reach $100 in May?

Yes 10% 399.99 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Yes 2.4% 1,324.69 shares
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Yes 76% 533.18 shares
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Yes 84.3% 355.81 shares
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

No 21.9% 264.53 shares
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

No 78% 59.9 shares
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?

Yes 99% 223.85 shares
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 18% 1,000 shares
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 40% 100 shares
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28?

Yes 3.3% 970 shares
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 75% 355 shares