Yes position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $212.5
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $24.79K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Polymarket Trader
Cbarbhwux
0x030a01fff8762c0747b6dbc589b28ee6cea8acfc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.87K
- Realized PnL
- $91.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $286.37
- Potential payout
- $10.05K
- Potential profit
- $9.76K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$343.48
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $3.47K
- Potential payout
- $3.65K
- Potential profit
- $184.4
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $761.18
No position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.91K
- Potential payout
- $2.93K
- Potential profit
- $23.43
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.54
- Potential profit
- $105.54
- User PnL
- -$21.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.92K
Yes position
Will Trudeau resign Today?
Ends Jan 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.98K
Yes position
Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29K
No position
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1K
Yes position
Will Elise Stefanik be out as Ambassador to the United Nations in Trump's first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94K
Yes position
Trudeau resigns before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91K
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82K
Yes position
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 18-24?
Ends Feb 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68K
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46K
Yes position
India military action against Pakistan before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15K
Yes position
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94K
No position
Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.86K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.76K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68K
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
Yes position
Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
Mets position
NL Wildcard: Brewers vs. Mets
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 59.4% 3,583.62 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 56% 1,135.77 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 76.9% 1,757.43 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 39% 450.99 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 40.9% 834.41 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 39.9% 2,097.63 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?Yes 44.9% 968.99 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 25.2% 1,394.93 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 36% 251.16 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 34% 6.85 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 40% 1,796.62 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No 31% 1,000 shares