No position
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $26.55
- Potential payout
- $26.83
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.02
Polymarket Trader
0x033AC9f02E37C679be5b4537e9F0F45788707188-1762505860497
0x033ac9f02e37c679be5b4537e9f0f45788707188
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $73.32
- Realized PnL
- $4.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $19.68
- Potential profit
- $16.83
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$6.99
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $19.29
- Potential profit
- $19.18
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $14.63
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.43
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $11.73
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $7.16
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $4.12
- Potential payout
- $8.49
- Potential profit
- $4.37
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $7.15
- Potential payout
- $7.81
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Y
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.97
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.38
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 86% 7.81 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by June 30?No 94% 12 shares
- Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?No 96.6% 11.43 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 20.2% 2.44 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 19.1% 6.86 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 8.4% 19.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 86% 20.27 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 11.7% 13.83 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 74% 20.27 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 18.7% 9.3 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes 19% 6 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 17.6% 1.98 shares