Yes position
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $497
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Polymarket Trader
attackrelease
0x035fa6cf792ae231501a99b554315ac2b62a33eb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51.46
- Realized PnL
- $3.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $399.8
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $248.5
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
No position
Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $5.4
- Potential payout
- $220.3
- Potential profit
- $214.9
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $217.25
- Potential profit
- $214.97
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $8.83
- Potential payout
- $203.54
- Potential profit
- $194.71
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.3
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $197.7
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.9
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.8
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.7
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.49
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 15-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $149.33
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.57
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 15-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $149.99
- Potential profit
- $148.41
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$3.27
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.95
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.45
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.1
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.8
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.95
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$9.18
Y
Yes position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.15
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.95
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $619.33
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $347.91
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.77
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.4
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.83
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.45
No position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $197.69
No position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $151.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $139.33
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $133.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $131.7
No position
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.82
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.96
No position
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.66
No position
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.48
No position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $86.53
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.78
Yes position
Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.66
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.24
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.28
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.87
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.76
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes 0.7% 164.99 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 30.3% 50 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 9.9% 50 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 10.9% 25 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 10.5% 50 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 44.6% 10 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Yes 2.5% 50 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 45.7% 20.01 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 42% 12.95 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 9% 50 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 32.6% 43.72 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 12.7% 50 shares