Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $145.2
- Potential profit
- $144.98
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Polymarket Trader
0x036b06CDF3F9DFA6C27Fc7Bf2DCd8bF4a4b093BD-1782547417737
0x036b06cdf3f9dfa6c27fc7bf2dcd8bf4a4b093bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.33
- Realized PnL
- -$2.62
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $134.02
- Potential profit
- $133.68
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $65.28
- Potential profit
- $64.66
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.25
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?Yes 50% 47.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?Yes 21% 43.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?Yes 23% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?Yes 52% 47.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 2?Yes 0.7% 134.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 2?Yes 3.4% 29.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?Yes 25% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?Yes 23% 43.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 2?Yes 1.5% 65.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 2?Yes 0.7% 145.2 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.9% 513.51 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.7% 540.54 shares