Polymarket Trader

Equoia

0x036dfb2e3039855d61955ad0dc82b4a7f56b7cd9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $241.74
Realized PnL: $697.25
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.26
Potential profit: $322.26
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.34
Potential profit: $266.34
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.1
Potential profit: $233.1
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $110.84
Potential payout: $230.91
Potential profit: $120.07
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$16.16

Yes position

Will the Florida Panthers make the NHL Playoffs?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.84
Potential profit: $188.84
User PnL: -$27.54

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $78.75
Potential payout: $162.38
Potential profit: $83.63
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$21.25

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $16.75
Potential payout: $115.49
Potential profit: $98.74
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$30.6

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.48
Potential profit: $104.48
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.04
Potential profit: $98.04
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.11
Potential profit: $88.11
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.97
Potential profit: $81.97
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.29
Potential profit: $74.29
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.77
Potential profit: $69.77
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $57.81
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$25.31

No position

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $57.69
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $56.6
Potential profit: $55.56
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$28.95

Yes position

Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $16.87
Potential payout: $51.12
Potential profit: $34.25
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$18.13

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $11.19
Potential payout: $36.11
Potential profit: $24.92
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$21.67

Yes position

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Ends Oct 21, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $25.9
Potential profit: $24.29
Multiplier: 16.13x
User PnL: -$3.39

Yes position

Will the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.13
Potential profit: $25.13
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.51

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.16

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.65

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.82

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.17

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.25

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.4

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.92

Yes position

Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.66

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.48

No position

Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.87

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.68

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$35.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 61.6% 162.38 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 55% 230.91 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 96.9% 142.59 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 95.3% 144.92 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 13.8% 144.93 shares
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Yes 61% 81.97 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 54% 142.59 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 48% 62.5 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Yes 33.7% 74.29 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Yes 97.8% 135.38 shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 41% 115.49 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Yes 51% 98.04 shares