No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.44K
- Potential profit
- $38.44K
- User PnL
- -$76.88
Polymarket Trader
0x03812FA505D97636460B1f78003eD855BE4F1adb-1775743746629
0x03812fa505d97636460b1f78003ed855be4f1adb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $839.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.83
- Potential profit
- $499.83
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184.63
- Potential profit
- $184.63
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.86
- Potential profit
- $137.86
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.29
- Potential profit
- $110.29
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.61
- Potential profit
- $33.61
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.22
- Potential profit
- $29.22
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $145.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.95
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.26
Over position
Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETUp 68% 36.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETUp 68% 36.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETUp 68% 36.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp 73% 34.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp 73% 34.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp 73% 34.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETDown 81% 30.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETDown 78% 32.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETDown 78% 32.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETUp 72% 34.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETUp 72% 34.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETUp 75% 33.33 shares