Polymarket Trader

Lunacy

0x038f18ac9f436954e420f6d24a80cefa306017a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.92K
Realized PnL: $52.99
Win rate: 61.9%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $486.19
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $12.47

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $435.53
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$82.59

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

No position

England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.06
Potential profit: $236.06
User PnL: -$158.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.24

No position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Over position

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.85

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.33

No position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.4

Netherlands position

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.45

Under position

South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.58

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $109K on May 25 at 5 PM ET?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.35

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $107K on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on May 25 at 5 PM ET?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.34

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on May 26 at 5 PM ET?

Ends May 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 24 at 5 PM ET?

Ends May 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.31

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: -$7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$44.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$66.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$152.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 80% 2,493.3 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 85% 588.24 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 85% 1,764.71 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 1% 1,000 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score

No 67% 236.06 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

No 93% 1,000 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?

No 74% 140 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

No 83% 560.24 shares
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5

Under 79% 126.58 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 60% 113.33 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.6% 635.98 shares
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5

Over 65% 153.85 shares