Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $196.7
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Polymarket Trader
Mandalorec
0x039b08dc2cb66400f1d725821b1a38924f799b6c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $400.22
- Realized PnL
- $367.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $65.29
- Potential payout
- $150.09
- Potential profit
- $84.8
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $8.67
Yes position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $117
- Potential profit
- $114.6
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $57.2
- Potential payout
- $110.01
- Potential profit
- $52.8
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$8.97
No position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $72.42
- Potential payout
- $102
- Potential profit
- $29.58
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $15.93
- Potential payout
- $91
- Potential profit
- $75.08
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.09
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $85.5
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $77.72
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $5.49
- Potential payout
- $61
- Potential profit
- $55.51
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$7.93
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $59
- Potential profit
- $53.99
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$15.05
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $43.97
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$6.66
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $34.6
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$8.85
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $30.87
- Potential payout
- $32.32
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.85
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $10.4
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $21.6
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$11.36
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $25.35
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $25.26
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$13.35
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $23.65
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $7.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $17.38
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $17.57
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $11.1
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.7%
- Current value
- $11.06
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $10.88
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $4.13
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
No position
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $13.91
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $12.56
- Potential profit
- $11.74
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.15
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.6
No position
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $20.59
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $18.87
No position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.22
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.68
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.94
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.41
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.98
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
No position
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $13.15
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1
Yes position
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.24
No position
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $10.2
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.68
Yes position
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $9.65
Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.51
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.48
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.02
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.17
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 29% 25 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 23% 30 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 27.4% 7 shares
- Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 67% 11 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 10% 229 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 36% 48.47 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 39.1% 21.16 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 39.2% 5 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?Yes 9% 20 shares
- Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?Yes 79% 15 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 78% 30 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 86% 30 shares