Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $292.33
- Potential profit
- $292.33
- User PnL
- -$36.66
Polymarket Trader
cocoa-110
@rice_soda
0x03a12a12fb345e308f040f5b27ac5627637fb818
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $168.52
- Realized PnL
- $1.54K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197
- Potential profit
- $197
- User PnL
- -$10.05
No position
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $45.58
- Potential payout
- $159.99
- Potential profit
- $114.41
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$11.7
Yes position
Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.62
- Potential profit
- $147.62
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $15.45
- Potential payout
- $123.58
- Potential profit
- $108.14
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $9.27
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $13.75
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $96.25
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.55
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.67
- Potential profit
- $91.67
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $8.09
- Potential payout
- $85.19
- Potential profit
- $77.1
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$12.4
Yes position
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $4.61
- Potential payout
- $57.59
- Potential profit
- $52.98
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$4.61
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $29.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $20.25
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $8.75
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $2.38
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.63
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$5.13
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $38.98
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $11.02
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.88
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.53
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.77
- Potential profit
- $49.77
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.3
- Potential profit
- $48.3
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $8.81
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $38.81
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $471.1
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.11
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.45
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.39
Yes position
zkSync airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.74
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.46
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.9
Yes position
Will Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
Yes position
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.98
Yes position
Biden drops out in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.53
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.34
Yes position
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Blast airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 14% 49.99 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No 56% 17.86 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 37.8% 13.23 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes 21% 47.62 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 53% 19.99 shares
- Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes 16% 57.59 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 28% 32.5 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 33% 30 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 42% 49.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 25 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 75 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 79% 36.5 shares