Polymarket Trader

yeatdrake

0x03a7f11512bd2368890f4201ef2f6add2959f938

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.53K
Realized PnL: $446.67
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $770.94
Potential payout: $11.59K
Potential profit: $10.82K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$226.05

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $678.17
Potential payout: $11.59K
Potential profit: $10.91K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $52.18

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $191.25
Potential payout: $11.59K
Potential profit: $11.4K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$63.74

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $179.66
Potential payout: $11.59K
Potential profit: $11.41K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$75.33

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $457.74
Potential payout: $11.59K
Potential profit: $11.13K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $63.74

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $11.59K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$295.44

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $11.59K
Potential profit: $10.1K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $202.76

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $11.58K
Potential profit: $10.22K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $330.16

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $294.22
Potential payout: $11.58K
Potential profit: $11.29K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $16.22

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $897.63
Potential payout: $11.58K
Potential profit: $10.68K
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$17.37

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $272.11
Potential payout: $11.58K
Potential profit: $11.31K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $52.11

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $11.53K
Potential profit: $9.4K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $261.7

Yes position

Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.8K
Potential payout: $9.8K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.8K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $192.45
Potential payout: $331.8
Potential profit: $139.36
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$7.55

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $235.75
Potential payout: $327.43
Potential profit: $91.68
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $35.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.44

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$70.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score

Yes 51% 9,803.92 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

No 55% 235.29 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 11,578.95 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 11,590.91 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 11,590.91 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 11,583.33 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.4% 11,588.24 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 11,592.59 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.9% 11,582.28 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 11,593.02 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.9% 11,584.27 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.1% 11,585.59 shares