Polymarket Trader

user9318

0x03ab215b8044acfb8ff2138f320d0fd2497055a8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.06
Realized PnL: $1.31
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $3.83
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $329.5
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $65.95
Potential profit: $64.07
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $55.87
Potential profit: $55.06
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.71
Potential profit: $32.71
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $14.08
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $6.61
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?

Yes 2.9% 31.39 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Yes 1% 100 shares
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Yes 60% 3.84 shares
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?

Yes 1.8% 55.87 shares
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Yes 26% 3.85 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 26% 38.38 shares
Will a hurricane form by May 31?

Yes 7.1% 14.08 shares
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Yes 4.2% 65.95 shares