Polymarket Trader

0x03b00Cbf7BEe483EE41742fA4E7CA6B3655Be266-1723268015927

0x03b00cbf7bee483ee41742fa4e7ca6b3655be266

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $1.5K
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Social Democratic Party of Albania win the most seats in the next Albanian election?

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $742.4
Potential profit: $742.4
User PnL: -$371.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $641.08
Potential profit: $641.08
User PnL: -$320.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $404.53
Potential profit: $404.53
User PnL: -$206.31

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $271.61
Potential profit: $271.61
User PnL: -$135.9

Up position

Solana Up or Down - October 21, 4PM ET

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180.47
Potential profit: $180.47
User PnL: -$92.04

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 5AM ET

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.24
Potential profit: $146.24
User PnL: -$74.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.23
Potential profit: $136.23
User PnL: -$70.02

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $99
User PnL: -$55.44

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.16
Potential profit: $89.16
User PnL: -$45.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 12PM ET

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $582.87

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.88

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 2AM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.62

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.73

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.23

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 4AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3AM ET

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.78

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Madani first lead in the 1st round?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will US annual inflation be 2.6% or less in December?

Ends Jan 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Wisconsin be the closest state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Fed rate cut by November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.46

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.77

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.81

No position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.12

No position

2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Down 50% 289.46 shares
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Down 50% 271.61 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Up 50% 219.38 shares
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 20.8% 0.36 shares
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 22.1% 0.41 shares
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 80.7% 304.03 shares
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 20.1% 188.46 shares
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 19.7% 120.56 shares
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 77% 314.24 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 4AM ET

Down 51% 225.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3AM ET

Up 51% 404.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3AM ET

Down 51% 138.33 shares