No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $200.95
- Potential payout
- $202.88
- Potential profit
- $1.93
- User PnL
- $4.56
Polymarket Trader
createfit
@world20120914
0x03b00f29bc719ce442b3cb6e45e57feeebc96368
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $492.59
- Realized PnL
- $319.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $128.41
- Potential payout
- $128.73
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $115.62
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $47.6
- Potential payout
- $53.79
- Potential profit
- $6.19
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Devils position
Oilers vs. Devils
Ends Mar 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.72
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.58
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.85
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $10.51
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.68
No position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.48
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.02
No position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79
No position
Ethereum above $3,400 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
No position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Will Biden pardon Trump?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 15?No 99.4% 121 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 15?No 98% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 15?No 98% 200 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 15?No 98% 8.56 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 14?No 98.8% 27.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 15?No 99.5% 130 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 15?No 99.3% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 15?No 99.2% 130 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 96.8% 202.88 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 1?No 98.9% 257.3 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 1?No 92.4% 62.44 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?Yes 97.8% 578 shares