yooo132758

Implied probability: 43.2%
Current value: $405.9
Potential payout: $939.59
Potential profit: $533.69
Multiplier: 2.31x
User PnL: -$51.65

No position

Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $623.03
Potential payout: $688.43
Potential profit: $65.4
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $389.46

Yes position

Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $388.28
Potential payout: $687.34
Potential profit: $299.06
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $9.88

Yes position

Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $376.12
Potential payout: $659.98
Potential profit: $283.86
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$28.06

Yes position

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $82.12
Potential payout: $513.28
Potential profit: $431.16
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$174.82

Yes position

Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $251.55
Potential payout: $483.76
Potential profit: $232.2
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $14.49
Potential payout: $475.09
Potential profit: $460.6
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$186.7

Yes position

Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $267.08
Potential payout: $472.79
Potential profit: $205.71
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $46.87

Yes position

Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $296.37
Potential payout: $466.73
Potential profit: $170.36
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $25.7

Yes position

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $58.02
Potential payout: $446.34
Potential profit: $388.31
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$144.99

No position

Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $303.04
Potential payout: $442.4
Potential profit: $139.36
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $93.39

Yes position

Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $77
Potential payout: $385
Potential profit: $308
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$99.4

No position

Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $100.8
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $219.2
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$55.4

Yes position

Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $70.83
Potential payout: $307.94
Potential profit: $237.11
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$38.61

Yes position

Will Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $94.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $205.5
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$50.5

Yes position

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $55.35
Potential payout: $269.99
Potential profit: $214.64
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$96.85

Yes position

Concrete FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $111.95
Potential payout: $155.48
Potential profit: $43.53
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $28.1

Yes position

Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $78.1
Potential payout: $139.46
Potential profit: $61.36
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $18.69

Yes position

Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $8.72
Potential payout: $96.88
Potential profit: $88.16
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$28.69

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $27.17
Potential payout: $95.38
Potential profit: $68.21
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$6.33

Yes position

Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $64.52
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $24.48
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $12.85

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $16.8
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $63.2
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$8.7

Yes position

Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $28.35
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $41.65
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$15.15

Yes position

Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $25.86
Potential payout: $60.15
Potential profit: $34.28
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $2.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $876.03

No position

Will Zama launch a token in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352.49

Yes position

Will Zama launch a token in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $165.88

Yes position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $145.2

Yes position

Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.36

Yes position

Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

No position

Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.3

Yes position

Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.85

Yes position

Will Canton launch a token in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.32

Yes position

Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.83

Yes position

Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.7

Yes position

Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.2

Yes position

Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.45

Yes position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.92

Yes position

Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.71

Yes position

Will Pump.fun launch a token by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.96

Yes position

Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.71

Yes position

Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $27.3

No position

Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.47

No position

Immunefi FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.5

Yes position

Will Infrared launch a token by June 30 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.37

Yes position

Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.33

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?