Polymarket Trader

jacoboliver

0x03ba71eba55bd541d948f6bba86342e8880491c0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $48.57
Realized PnL: -$10.91
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434
Potential profit: $434
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $379.43
Potential profit: $379.43
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Emilio Gonzalez win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $163.93
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 36.4%
Current value: $45.44
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $79.56
Multiplier: 2.75x
User PnL: $35.44

Yes position

Cluely $1B valuation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $82.79
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$9.46

Yes position

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.59
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $31.9
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$7.41

Yes position

Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 10 2025?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.27
Potential profit: $17.27
User PnL: -$1.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.08

Oregon position

Oregon vs. Iowa

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.54

Yes position

Deel CEO jailed in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.32

Yes position

Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$6.75

No position

Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$23.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Deel CEO jailed in 2025?

Yes 0.8% 84.85 shares
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?

Yes 8% 125 shares
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?

Yes 13% 76.92 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 29% 34.48 shares
Deel CEO jailed in 2025?

Yes 5.9% 84.85 shares
Cluely $1B valuation in 2025?

Yes 6% 83.33 shares
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?

Yes 13% 76.92 shares
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 10 2025?

Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?

No 98.2% 35.71 shares
Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10?

Yes 11% 17.27 shares
Oregon vs. Iowa

Oregon 75% 26.67 shares