Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $109.13
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Polymarket Trader
ElChapoGuzman
0x03d64d2140092e083aee7519b624e81b53c40f59
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $548.16
- Realized PnL
- -$67.3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$107.43
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.8%
- Current value
- $439.03
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $789.02
- Multiplier
- 2.80x
- User PnL
- $211.84
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $430.63
- Potential profit
- $430.63
- User PnL
- -$238.38
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $202.7
- Potential profit
- $202.7
- User PnL
- -$56
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.73
- Potential profit
- $122.73
- User PnL
- -$27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.99
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.11
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Saturday?
Ends Jun 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$16.35
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$53.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.1% 1,834.1 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 36% 326.44 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 8.49 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 1,546 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes 58% 359.2 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes 31.2% 102.7 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes 22% 122.73 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 58.9% 422.44 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 56% 32.1 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes 24% 100 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes 42% 71.43 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 55% 454.55 shares