Polymarket Trader

ykh1

0x03d66557c9112dabf2c8c9b20c3aaf10033c81c3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $124.75
Realized PnL: $154.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.85
Potential profit: $118.85
User PnL: -$86.84

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $42.35
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $27.65
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$1.55

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.03
Potential profit: $65.03
User PnL: -$50.39

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.57
Potential profit: $64.57
User PnL: -$54.1

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $51.27
Potential payout: $57.28
Potential profit: $6.01
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $4.25

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $16.88
Potential payout: $17.46
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $14.26
Potential payout: $17.18
Potential profit: $2.92
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.84
Potential profit: $9.84
User PnL: -$6.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.58

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.43

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.53

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.97

Yes position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.05

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.06

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

Yes position

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

Yes position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $2.42

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

No 71% 10 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

No 71% 7.18 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

No 98.3% 18.9 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 96.7% 17.46 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

No 99.6% 44.7 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

No 55.8% 50 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

No 98.1% 40.03 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

No 96.8% 18.9 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

No 99.4% 20 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

No 95% 20 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

No 95% 20.03 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

No 98.9% 57.16 shares