No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $194.93
- Potential payout
- $227.99
- Potential profit
- $33.06
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $23.94
Polymarket Trader
louiesun
0x03dbfecffedab59ab0e82a22baccde6c3fee6300
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $427.06
- Realized PnL
- $25.49
- Win rate
- 92.9%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Current value
- $132.69
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $37.32
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $66.64
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $99.45
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $70.55
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$14.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No 96.5% 96 shares
- USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 99% 3.45 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?No 98.3% 18.05 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?No 97.1% 1.33 shares