Polymarket Trader

wakawaka0249

0x03f5b244a61209290ef1aee92821c898151f17fc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $420.57
Realized PnL: $656.43
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.84K
Potential profit: $6.84K
User PnL: -$546.13

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.14K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $1.97K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $126.67
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$73.33

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $646.52
Potential profit: $646.52
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $98.53
Potential payout: $458.26
Potential profit: $359.73
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$101.47

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $184.09
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $270.45
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $84.09

Yes position

Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $434.78
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $10.77
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $373.85
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$39.23

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365.91
Potential profit: $365.91
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $338.98
Potential profit: $338.98
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.4
Potential profit: $249.4
User PnL: -$14.71

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $238.1
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$100

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.34
Potential profit: $208.34
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $207.79
Potential profit: $207.27
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$19.48

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strike on Syria by December 31?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $445.26

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.76

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.34

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.16

Yes position

Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25.35

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 21.3%
Multiplier: 4.69x
User PnL: -$30.82

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$34.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 22% 454.55 shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Yes 15% 1,333.33 shares
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Yes 11% 227.27 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 99% 303.03 shares
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 43.6% 458.26 shares
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4% 500 shares
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Yes 17.3% 1,158.01 shares
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?

Yes 10.5% 948.38 shares
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?

Yes 9.8% 1,020 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 33% 303.03 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Yes 13.7% 365.91 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 27% 185.19 shares