Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $6.15
- Potential payout
- $6.2
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.15
Polymarket Trader
89769
0x03fd2cfa6b8aa4729af636af4c3bbbc4c68b675d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.91
- Realized PnL
- $11.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $4.14
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$3.94
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.7%
- Current value
- $3.57
- Potential payout
- $4.12
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $2.11
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $2.06
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $2.05
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2.02
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Up position
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 98.9% 2.02 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 97.5% 2.05 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 97.6% 2.05 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 95.2% 2.1 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 97.5% 2.05 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 96.9% 2.06 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?No 97.5% 2.05 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?Yes 95% 2.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on May 29?No 99.7% 2.01 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 96.9% 2.06 shares
- Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?No 99% 2.02 shares
- Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?Yes 98% 2.04 shares