No position
Will Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Skwaterbrook
0x03fe9439673ef135e8d292885c5d55f0a5d94838
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.75
- Realized PnL
- $19.01
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be one or two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $8.7
- Potential profit
- $7.79
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $7.94
- Potential profit
- $7.48
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will there be zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.38
- Potential profit
- $3.38
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.26
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.32
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.92
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $1.51
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.24
- Potential profit
- $2.24
- User PnL
- -$0.98
No position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $2.07
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
North Korea missile launch by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Brown and MIT shooters confirmed to be same person?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Up position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan WolverinesMichigan Wolverines 83% 1.2 shares
- S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?No 97.3% 1.03 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No 94% 1.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETUp 44% 2.24 shares
- Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?No 93% 1.08 shares
- Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?No 94% 1.06 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of January?No 96% 1.04 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?No 74.3% 1.35 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?No 96.7% 1.03 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?No 98.9% 1.01 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?No 99.5% 1.01 shares