Ajjooli

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $943.34
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 4.77x
User PnL: -$31.27

Yes position

Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $256.8
Potential payout: $3.95K
Potential profit: $3.69K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$164.95

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $2.96K
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $393.86
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $132.52

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $450.86
Potential payout: $2.91K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$37.32

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $546.47
Potential payout: $2.64K
Potential profit: $2.09K
Multiplier: 4.83x
User PnL: -$139.71

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $9.9
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.19K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $141.4
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $858.6
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: -$48.6

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $757.86
Potential payout: $930
Potential profit: $172.14
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $26.06

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $38.16
Potential payout: $848.06
Potential profit: $809.9
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$39.6

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $361.2
Potential payout: $840
Potential profit: $478.8
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$33.2

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $329.18
Potential payout: $774.55
Potential profit: $445.37
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$25.62

No position

Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $743.63
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $6.38
User PnL: $62.48

Yes position

Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $735.34
Potential payout: $735.71
Potential profit: $0.37
User PnL: $5.12

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $626.5
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $73.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $28.5

Yes position

Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $140.11
Potential payout: $528.73
Potential profit: $388.61
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $41.7

Yes position

Will Scotland score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.35

No position

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $236.01
Potential payout: $263.7
Potential profit: $27.69
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $16.88

No position

Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $190.04
Potential payout: $242.09
Potential profit: $52.05
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $27.93

Yes position

Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $13.14
Potential payout: $97.34
Potential profit: $84.2
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will Netherlands score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $71.17
Potential profit: $66.47
Multiplier: 15.15x
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will Norway score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $37.01
Potential profit: $35.43
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will a player representing Spain be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $35.56
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$4.11

Yes position

Will Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.02
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $6.9
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$1.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24K

Yes position

Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $464.63

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $434

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $292.17

Yes position

Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.44

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $237.2

No position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.25

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $165.09

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.09

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.8

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $152.31

No position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.51

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.9

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.5

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $109.6

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $104.95

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97.12

Yes position

Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $94.02

No position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.3

No position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?