No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $4.21K
- Potential payout
- $5.1K
- Potential profit
- $892.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $411.5
Polymarket Trader
cryptic-bolt
0x04083339bf56d317786e110036e62b99e087856b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6K
- Realized PnL
- $2.96K
- Win rate
- 94.1%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $993.5
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$23.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $997.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- $30.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $959.95
- Potential profit
- $959.95
- User PnL
- -$558.57
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $699.99
- Potential profit
- $699.99
- User PnL
- -$365.99
No position
Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $624.18
- Potential payout
- $664.02
- Potential profit
- $39.84
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $16.56
Yes position
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $615.94
- Potential profit
- $615.94
- User PnL
- -$444.96
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $514.28
- Potential profit
- $514.28
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Ends Oct 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $63
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $287
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $306
- Potential profit
- $306
- User PnL
- -$198.29
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $104
- Potential payout
- $277.34
- Potential profit
- $173.34
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $77.56
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218.8
- Potential profit
- $218.8
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.1
No position
Will Solana reach $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.51
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.15
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $48
No position
Will Solana reach $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.2%
- Multiplier
- 4.72x
- User PnL
- $22.5
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.68
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Another Canada election called by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$43.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No 82% 200 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No 58% 200 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 18.9% 294 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?No 36% 96.59 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 77% 1,600 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?No 57% 6.2 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 84% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 84% 600 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?No 66% 287.24 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 64.8% 300 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 64.8% 300 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 96.7% 1,000 shares