No position
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$9.52K
Polymarket Trader
ARudeEgg
0x040ec398e277f9d7f366621dfa7ea5ddae088edf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $144.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.88K
Yes position
Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?
Ends Nov 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.55K
Yes position
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.55K
No position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.22K
Yes position
Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?
Ends Dec 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.2K
No position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.07K
No position
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16K
No position
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25K
No position
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15K
Yes position
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76K
No position
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
Ends Dec 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7K
No position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.57K
No position
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5K
No position
Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45K
No position
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21K
Yes position
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13K
No position
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
No position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61K
No position
Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes 52.5% 2,311.37 shares
- Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes 54.1% 2,500 shares
- Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes 51.2% 7,071 shares
- Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?No 47% 10,000 shares
- Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?No 46% 1,080.15 shares
- Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?Yes 0.5% 17,500 shares
- Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes 0.1% 17,500 shares
- Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes 0.1% 17,500 shares
- Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?No 45% 4,132.25 shares
- Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes 56% 7 shares
- Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes 44.4% 7,500 shares
- Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No 50% 2,466.99 shares