Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $291.81
- Potential payout
- $799.47
- Potential profit
- $507.66
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $12.81
Polymarket Trader
User-no
0x0412ce696ca2d7e9ee9f4fc6a2b0df0ceb19ca69
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $376.95
- Realized PnL
- $184.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $42.29
- Potential payout
- $71.67
- Potential profit
- $29.39
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $7.29
No position
Major US official out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.15
- Potential profit
- $48.15
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.21
- Potential profit
- $37.21
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $16.48
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $20.56
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$3.52
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.09
- Potential profit
- $34.09
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $18.45
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $11.55
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $3.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.67
- Potential profit
- $26.67
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.23
- Potential profit
- $26.23
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.02
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.04
- Potential profit
- $15.04
- User PnL
- -$13
Belal Muhammad position
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.93
- Potential profit
- $8.93
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $6.77
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $1.29
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.42
- Potential profit
- $7.42
- User PnL
- -$3.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.66
- Potential profit
- $6.66
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $5.24
- Potential profit
- $4.74
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.36
- Potential profit
- $4.36
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.29
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.05
- Potential profit
- $4.05
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.85
Yes position
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.75
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.82
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.06
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.22
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $3.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 36% 61.11 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 74.6% 31.1 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 36% 280.56 shares
- Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes 20.8% 498.82 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 35% 125.71 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96.8% 45.24 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 33% 90.91 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown 90% 3.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown 90% 3.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown 90% 3.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown 90% 3.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown 90% 3.33 shares