Polymarket Trader

lanjiakai

@JiakaiLan

0x042035659940b4d2b1d6d5e2d51524820ab63a51

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $761.65
Realized PnL: $518.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.2K
Potential profit: $15.2K
User PnL: -$49.28

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$17.73

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.81K
Potential profit: $12.81K
User PnL: -$49.69

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.67K
Potential profit: $4.67K
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$77.8

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $676.93
Potential payout: $682.73
Potential profit: $5.8
User PnL: -$3.07

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $128,000 on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $502.33
Potential profit: $502.33
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $433.33
Potential profit: $433.33
User PnL: -$1.3

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 21?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $247.05
Potential profit: $247.05
User PnL: -$244.58

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.87
Potential profit: $220.87
User PnL: -$9.7

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $79.45
Potential payout: $84.66
Potential profit: $5.21
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 9?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$1

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $5.28
Potential payout: $5.4
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.28

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $1.23
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.65

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5PM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4AM ET

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3PM ET

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4PM ET

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5AM ET

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.8

Ducks position

Devils vs. Ducks

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2PM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3PM ET

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.48

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12

Timberwolves position

Wizards vs. Timberwolves

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1PM ET

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3PM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1AM ET

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.71

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.52

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4PM ET

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $126,000 on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.9% 12.19 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.4% 11.49 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?

No 99.6% 682.73 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Yes 94.5% 84.66 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.4% 10.16 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 81% 1.23 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 24.2% 4.13 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 24.4% 4.1 shares
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?

No 99.7% 601.81 shares
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?

No 99.2% 65.52 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?

No 99.7% 75.3 shares
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 99.1 shares