Polymarket Trader

Bageb

0x042a1caf0b0d51d4fe5abc5d8832c2c9a5ffb153

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $209.39
Realized PnL: $26.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $109.88
Potential payout: $6.46K
Potential profit: $6.35K
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: $25.96

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $99.51
Potential payout: $6.42K
Potential profit: $6.32K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$10.63

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.59K
Potential profit: $2.59K
User PnL: -$292.62

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$54.08

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$160

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$25.31

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $962.8
Potential profit: $962.8
User PnL: -$24.69

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $813.77
Potential profit: $813.77
User PnL: -$12.19

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $478.29
Potential profit: $478.29
User PnL: -$52.51

Yes position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $425.16
Potential profit: $425.16
User PnL: -$51

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Morocco?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375.35
Potential profit: $375.35
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $375
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $337.33
Potential profit: $337.33
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $334.78
Potential profit: $334.78
User PnL: -$9.71

Paraguay position

Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.89
Potential profit: $333.89
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310.61
Potential profit: $310.61
User PnL: -$7

West Ham United FC position

Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3

IR Iran position

Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $275
Potential profit: $275
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Croatia?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5K

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6K

Yes position

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3K

No position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46K

Yes position

Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9K

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.79K

Yes position

Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $405.37

Yes position

Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $240.99

Yes position

Will Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 9?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.23

Yes position

Will Brighton win on 2025-08-31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.45

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Yes position

Will Newcastle vs. Liverpool end in a draw?

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $102

No position

Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $99.48

No position

Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.8

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.6

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77

No position

Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.08

Yes position

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.01

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.15

Yes position

Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-23?

Ends Aug 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Yes position

Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.7

Yes position

Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.7% 324.99 shares
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)

Paraguay 3.2% 55 shares
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 46.22 shares
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)

Paraguay 0.9% 333.89 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 802.92 shares
United States leading at halftime?

Yes 1.9% 105.26 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

No 0.8% 375 shares
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 250 shares
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?

Yes 1% 751.93 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 1,111.11 shares
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 73.58 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 632.11 shares