InfiniiteHorizon

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $17.38
Potential payout: $440
Potential profit: $422.62
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $16.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $298.65
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.4
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $269.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $246.63
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.38
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.38
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.75
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $230.01
Potential profit: $228.4
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.3
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $14.36
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $95.65
Multiplier: 7.66x
User PnL: $13.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.08
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $58.77
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.33
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.78
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.53
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 26.3%
Current value: $13.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $36.88
Multiplier: 3.81x
User PnL: $12.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.12
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $0.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.43

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.55

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?